 
There is a shortage of top level management skills
in Asia. The skill sets we have are unique in the world.
Just a handful have multi-continent working experience with a rolodex that
access the top executives on 4 or 5 continents
Asia's skills shortage
Despite its booming economies and huge numbers of people, Asia is
suffering a big shortage of skills. And it is about to get worse
It seems odd. In the world's most populous
region the biggest problem facing employers is a shortage of people. Asia
has more than half the planet's inhabitants and is home to many of the
world's fastest-growing economies. But some businesses are being forced to
reconsider just how quickly they will be able to grow, because they cannot
find enough people with the skills they need.
In a recent survey, 600 chief executives of
multinational companies with businesses across Asia said a shortage of
qualified staff ranked as their biggest concern in China (see chart 1) and
South-East Asia. It was their second-biggest headache in Japan (after
cultural differences) and the fourth-biggest in India (after problems with
infrastructure, bureaucracy and wage inflation). Across almost every
industry and sector it was the same.

Old Asia-hands may find it easy to understand why
there is such concern. The region's rapid economic growth has fished out the
pool of available talent, they would say. But there is also a failure of
education. Recent growth in many parts of Asia has been so great that it has
rapidly transformed the type of skills needed by businesses. Schools and
universities have been unable to keep up.
Taking wing
This is especially true for professional staff.
Airlines are one example. With increasing deregulation, many new carriers
are setting up and airlines are offering more services to meet demand. But
there is a dreadful shortage of pilots. According to Alteon Training, the
commercial-pilot training arm of Boeing, India has fewer than 3,000 pilots
today but will need more than 12,000 by 2025. China will need to find an
average of 2,200 new pilots a year just to keep up with the growth in air
travel, which means it will need more than 40,000 pilots by 2025. In the
meantime, with big international airlines training only a few hundred pilots
a year, Asian airlines have taken to poaching them, often from each other.
Philippine Airlines, for instance, lost 75 pilots to overseas airlines
during the past three years. China has been trying to lure pilots from
Brazil, among other places.
Similar problems are bedevilling the legal
profession, which is suffering from a grave shortage of lawyers and judges.
This can cause a long backlog of cases and other complications in what are
sometimes rudimentary legal systems. It can damage the way business is done,
for instance in dealing with intellectual property or settling contract
disputes. According to the All-China Lawyers Association, the country has
only 122,000 lawyers. That is 70,000 fewer than California where the
population is only 37m (against China's 1.3 billion). Many business people
might argue that California is overlawyered, but there are parts of China
without any lawyers at all.
A report presented at the Chinese Party Congress
in March by the Jiu San Society, a group of progressive Chinese
intellectuals, stressed the shortage of doctors. There are only 4,000
general practitioners in China. But if the government is to achieve its
ambition of establishing community hospitals for the country's 500m urban
residents, it will need 160,000 doctors to staff them. There is a huge
shortage of nursing staff as well.
The scarcity of accountants is already having a
regional impact. In order to list their shares in Hong Kong or Shanghai,
many Chinese companies are busy preparing internationally acceptable
accounts and statutory reports. With the country's own bean-counters trained
in Communist-era systems—which never paid heed to capitalist ideas like
profits or assets—accountants are being lured to the mainland from Hong
Kong and the rest of the region. A senior manager at one of the big audit
firms recently arrived in Hong Kong after a long stint in Russia, took one
look at his firm's ambitious growth plans and asked: “How are we going to
do this without enough staff?”
Technical skills, particularly in information
technology, are lacking in many parts of the region, even India. One of the
main concerns is that there are not enough skilled graduates to fill all the
jobs being created in a vibrant sector. Nasscom, which represents India's
software companies, has estimated that there could be a shortfall of 500,000
IT professionals by 2010. This means companies recruiting at job fairs in
India are having to make lucrative offers to capture the most promising
students. Even a junior software-engineer can expect to take home $45,000 a
year.
There is also a severe shortage of good managers.
A study by the McKinsey Global Institute predicts that 75,000 business
leaders will be needed in China in the next ten years. It estimates the
current stock at just 3,000 to 5,000. And that assessment could prove
optimistic. The study, which covered a broad spectrum of businesses and
surveyed more than 80 human-resources managers, found that less than “10%
of Chinese job candidates, on average, were suitable for work in a foreign
company.” In engineering, for example, graduates were criticised for being
too immersed in theory and not enough in practice. It concluded that the
available pool of engineering talent in China was no larger than that in
Britain, which now has a mostly service economy.
China is even suffering from something of a brain
drain. In recent years the Chinese have been able to travel abroad more
freely to study and acquire skills. But many do not return. A recent report
by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences found that between 1978 and 2006,
just over 1m Chinese went to study overseas and some 70% of them did not go
back. The brightest are often tempted to stay abroad by local employers,
because the competition for jobs has become global.
The skills shortage comes in two forms: higher
staff turnover and rising wage costs. Pay rates for senior staff in many
parts of Asia already exceed those for similar staff in much of Europe. The
going rate for a human-resources director working for a medium-to-large
multinational in Shanghai is now $250,000 a year, and that is for “someone
who has probably never even left China,” says Vanessa Moriel, the managing
partner of Human Capital Partners, a Shanghai-based consulting firm. The
chief executive of an international business based in India can expect to
earn $400,000-500,000, with many earning well over $750,000, according to
Korn/Ferry, a consultancy. For a chief finance officer the average pay is
now $194,000 in China, $159,000 in Thailand, $157,000 in Malaysia and
$73,000 in India. Wages for lower-level staff are also rising quickly,
increasing by 14% in Indonesia last year, 11% in India and 8% in
China—well above the rates of inflation in each country.
Another year, another job
A high staff-turnover rate helps to force up wage
costs, and turnover-rates can exceed 30% a year in some places in Asia.
Fiducia, a Hong Kong-based consultancy, reckons that the additional hiring
and training costs of operating in Asia add a further 15% to the basic costs
of employing someone. Factories in southern China now plan for a 4% loss of
staff just in the week immediately after Chinese New Year, because people
seem to like to start the new year with a new job. In middle management, the
average retention period of an employee in Shanghai is just 1.8 years, with
human-resources managers among the most difficult to keep. Some job
applicants are known as “jumpers” because of their tendency to switch
jobs every two years.
Struggling with high staff-turnover is harder
still when many firms are also trying to expand. Last year Flextronics, a
big electronics manufacturer, wanted to increase staff numbers in Shenzhen
from 27,000 to 43,000. But to get a net increase of 16,000 people, it had to
hire more than 20,000 because over the same period it had 4,000 employees
leave.
As well as excessive wage inflation there is also
“title inflation” and “responsibility inflation”. Relatively
inexperienced local managers are sometimes given ever-grander titles—much
to the chagrin of their counterparts from Europe and America, who can find
themselves sitting beside much less able and more junior colleagues
described as “Senior Executive Vice President” or “Regional
Chairman”. But these honours are handed out for a
reason: many employers in Asia have found that awarding new titles to
employees every 18 months or so can be a good way to keep them.
Giving greater responsibility to staff is more
troublesome. Yet many inexperienced managers in China are being given
powerful regional roles or are promoted to positions where they lack
sufficient knowledge or ability. Even though they may not seem ready for the
job, it is often seen as the only way to keep them on the payroll.
A problem for years to come
As if all this were not bad enough, the Asian
talent shortage is set to get worse. The predicted inflow of investment,
together with the growth of local companies and the rising expectations of
foreign investors—especially as other markets are slowing—mean that the
pressure to find and keep staff is mounting.
Demography will also play a big role, especially
as labour forces in both China and Japan shrink over the next two decades.
This means, for instance, that the already difficult job of finding creative
software-engineers will become ever harder in northern Asia, which in turn
will increase demand for staff in India and other markets where demographic
problems do not exist.
But that only points to an even bigger threat
which may take a generation to fix: education. In much of South-East Asia
most people are educated only to the age of 12. More than half of the women
in India are illiterate. Nearly two-thirds of the children in government
primary schools in India cannot read a simple story. Half cannot solve
simple numerical problems.
China's educational difficulties are
different—and often linked to the country's history. Universities were
closed during the Cultural Revolution and few well-educated people entered
the workforce for over a decade. This has resulted in a lost generation of
business people between the ages of 50 and 60, exactly the age group from
where many of China's corporate leaders should be drawn today.
Those who were children (and typically without
siblings because of China's one-child policy) after the Cultural Revolution
have other things to deal with. Their parents had often been sent for
re-education in the fields and many were brought up far away from home by
strangers. Perhaps in response to this harshness, they have brought up their
own children rather indulgently. What is known as the “little emperor
syndrome” is a particular weakness in boys. Many older Chinese believe
this younger generation, doted on by grandparents and parents, lacks a work
ethic. It has even become a bit of a slur to say of someone that “they
were born in the 1980s”.
Girls born after the Cultural Revolution are much
less likely to have been spoilt, which means some employers see them as good
hires. Liam Casey, the boss of PCH China Solutions, a contract-manufacturer
in southern China, says he once noticed in a shopping mall that there were
typically groups of seven people or groups of three. The groups of seven
consisted of two sets of grandparents, parents and a boy. Those of three
comprised parents and a daughter. He says he realised then that girls were
valued less by society and that if he hired them and showed them loyalty,
they would be more loyal in return. This is one reason, he says, that his
business has much lower rates of staff turnover than his rivals' businesses
do.
But even hiring women is getting harder. In Zhuhai
another foreign manufacturer which hires staff from all over China says it
prefers to recruit women too. The managers believe that women are generally
harder-working and tend to stay longer. But schools and universities have
cottoned on to this now and set quotas on the number of women that firms can
recruit. The company says that for every group of women it selects, it now
has to hire a share of men too.
Team building
In the face of so many problems, what can
employers do? Building a skilled workforce is as much about a company's
general attitude as its tactics, says Michael Bekins, the managing director
of Korn/Ferry in Hong Kong. The first part of that mindset is realising that
retention is more important than recruitment, he says. He thinks all
managers in Asia should be explicitly measured on their ability to keep a
team together.
Some ways of doing that are more obvious than
others. Paying higher wages to employees, say most managers and recruitment
specialists, is certainly not enough. Pay should be seen as only part of any
package. Delaying bonus payments with a reward at the end of say, three
years, can work well, but increases costs. Offering career planning,
training, “personal-development road maps”, mentoring and the rest of
the modern HR kitbag seems to go down well (see chart 2), though managing
expectations is critical. One company in South-East Asia has a “welcome
the boomerangers” policy, making it easy for anyone who has left to come
back. The big accounting firms have programmes to keep in touch with people
who leave.

Some employers argue that you should focus on the
family not just the employee. Offering support for children's education and
helping the families of staff resettle can build loyalty. With expatriates,
this is crucial. According to one consultant, 85% of expatriates in China
leave because their families do not like living there. Life can be
especially hard in smaller cities, where there are few other foreigners,
international schools or decent restaurants and little to do in your time
off. Many spouses complain of feeling like prisoners in their gated
communities while their partners are away, heady with the thrill of running
the firm's fastest-growing division.
There are less obvious ways to keep people too. A
prestigious brand can be valuable in more ways than one; Asians seem
attracted to the idea of working for well-known firms. Having a fashionable
office can be a big help. And providing courses in stress management or
etiquette can be attractive. So is giving staff club memberships. Even
providing staff with the latest PDA's and mobile phones can work wonders
(see chart 2). And, if a company has a canteen, it should make sure it hires
a good chef.
One of the more creative options for employers is
to offer flexible working hours and sabbaticals. Although these are unusual
in Asia, they can help staff who have young children or elderly parents to
care for. But there are some dangers. It is common, especially in China, for
employees to run private businesses on the side. Giving them more time for
outside activities may not be in a company's best interests. It could also
be counterproductive in some parts of Asia, were workers want a job in order
to make as much money as fast as they can.
Hiring Asians who have been educated overseas and
bringing them back does not always work. They often expect to be paid a lot.
Some demand expatriate packages with paid flights back to America or Europe.
They may also be out of touch with local developments. But the biggest
difficulty is that their colleagues frequently resent them. This is
especially so in China, where one of the politer names for returning people
is hai gui or sea turtles. A similar attitude sometimes turns up in India
too. Companies find that the turtles tend to fit in best in the finance
industry or in privately owned businesses.
With such a mismatch between supply and demand in
Asia's labour markets, companies will have to become better at hiring good
staff and keeping them. But as some companies will always be better at this
than others, the job-hopping and poaching are set to continue for many
years, until education and training catch up. The consequences of that are
stark. “It will limit the growth. It has to,” says Korn/Ferry's Mr
Bekins. Which means that without talented recruiting policies, some firms
may end up scaling back their bold Asian growth-plans. ECONOMIST
2007 August 16
China's looming talent shortage
To make the move from manufacturing to services, China must
raise the quality of its university graduates
 
With a huge supply of low-cost workers, mainland China has fast become the
world's manufacturing workshop, supplying everything from textiles to toys
to computer chips. Given the country's millions of university graduates, is
it set to become a giant in offshore IT and business process services as
well?
New research from the McKinsey
Global Institute (MGI) suggests that this outcome is unlikely.
The reason: few of China's vast number of university graduates are capable
of working successfully in the services export sector, and the fast-growing
domestic economy absorbs most of those who could. Indeed, far from presaging
a thriving offshore services sector, our research points to a looming
shortage of homegrown talent, with serious implications for the
multinationals now in China and for the growing number of Chinese companies
with global ambitions.
If China is to avoid this talent crunch and to
sustain its economic ascent, it must produce more graduates fit for
employment in world-class companies, whether local or foreign. Raising the
graduates' quality will allow the economy to evolve from its present
domination by manufacturing and toward a future in which services play the
leading role�as they eventually must when any economy develops and
matures. The conditions for a flourishing offshore services sector will then
surely follow.
Today's big companies do very little to enhance
the productivity of their professionals. In fact, their vertically oriented
organisational structures, retrofitted with ad hoc and matrix overlays,
nearly always make professional work more complex and inefficient. These
vertical structures - relics of the industrial age - are singularly ill
suited to the professional work process. Professionals cooperate
horizontally with one another throughout a company, yet vertical structures
force such men and women to search across poorly connected organisational
silos to find knowledge and collaborators and to gain their cooperation once
they have been found.
The supply paradox

China's pool of potential talent is enormous. In
2003 China had roughly 8.5 million young professional graduates with up to
seven years' work experience and an additional 97 million people that would
qualify for support-staff positions.
Despite this apparently vast supply, multinational
companies are finding that few graduates have the necessary skills for
service occupations. According to interviews with 83 human-resources
professionals involved with hiring local graduates in low-wage countries,
fewer than 10 percent of Chinese job candidates, on average, would be
suitable for work in a foreign company in the nine occupations we studied:
engineers, finance workers, accountants, quantitative analysts, generalists,
life science researchers, doctors, nurses, and support staff.
Consider engineers. China has 1.6 million young
ones, more than any other country we examined. Indeed, 33 percent of the
university students in China study engineering, compared with 20 percent in
Germany and just 4 percent in India. But the main drawback of Chinese
applicants for engineering jobs, our interviewees said, is the educational
system's bias toward theory. Compared with engineering graduates in Europe
and North America, who work in teams to achieve practical solutions, Chinese
students get little practical experience in projects or teamwork. The result
of these differences is that China's pool of young engineers considered
suitable for work in multinationals is just 160,000 no larger than the
United Kingdom's. Hence the paradox of shortages amid plenty.
For jobs in the eight other occupations we
studied, poor English was the main reason our interviewees gave for
rejecting Chinese applicants. Only 3 percent of them can be considered for
generalist service positions (those that don't require a degree in any
particular subject). Overall communication style and cultural fit are also
difficult hurdles. One Chinese HR professional points out, for example, that
Chinese software engineers would find it hard to draw up an information
flowchart for an international five-star hotel, not because they don't
understand flowcharts, but because state-run hotels in China the only ones
they know are so very different. Some people argue that a willingness to
work long hours will compensate for any deficiencies in the suitability of
China's talent. Although this may hold true to some extent in manufacturing,
it is likely to make only a marginal difference in services because of the
specific skill deficiencies that come into play.
On top of the generally low suitability of Chinese
graduates, they are widely dispersed. Well over 1,500 colleges and
universities produced the 1.7 million students who graduated in 2003, and
likely less than one-third of them had studied in any of the top ten
university cities (Exhibit 1). Just one-quarter of all Chinese graduates
live in a city or region close to a major international airport a
requirement of most multinationals setting up offshore facilities.
Compounding that problem is a lack of mobility: only one-third of all
Chinese graduates move to other provinces for work. (By contrast, almost
half of all Indian students graduate close to a major international hub,
such as Bangalore, Delhi, Hyderabad, and Mumbai, and most are quite willing
to move.) As a result of these two factors, world-class companies that want
to hire service labor in China have difficulty reaching as much as half of
the total pool of graduates.
Finally, companies that wish to set up services
offshoring operations in China face more competition for talent than they
would in other low-wage locations. In India and the Philippines, for
example, the local economy is growing less briskly, and working for a
company that provides offshore services is therefore a good option. In
China, domestic and multinational companies serving the fast-growing
domestic market already provide attractive opportunities for suitable
graduates, and there are many more jobs in the manufacturing export sector.
As a result, it's wrong to assume, as many companies do, that every suitable
young professional in China is available for hire in the services offshoring
sector.
 
The looming war for talent
More crucially, companies that are already in
China and serve its fast-growing domestic market will also, our research
shows, have difficulty finding enough suitable employees in key service and
managerial occupations.
The demand for labor from just the large
foreign-owned companies and joint ventures that now do business in China
highlights the problem. From 1998 to 2002, employment in these two
categories rose by 12 and 23 percent a year, respectively, to about
2,700,000 workers. Assuming that 30 percent of these workers must have at
least a college degree and that the labor demands of such companies continue
to grow at the same rates, they will have to employ an additional 750,000
graduates from 2003 through 2008. China, we estimate, will produce 1,200,000
graduates suitable for employment in world-class service companies during
that period. So large foreign multinationals and joint ventures alone will
take up to 60 percent of China's suitable graduates before demand from
smaller multinationals or Chinese companies even enters the picture (Exhibit
2).
If these numbers suggest fierce competition for
China's best graduates, unemployment statistics confirm that impression. In
2003 just 1 percent of the country's university graduates were unemployed an
almost negligible rate. Unemployment among the graduates of China's colleges
is a bit higher, at about 6 percent.
Effective managers are in short supply as well. We
estimate that given the global aspirations of many Chinese companies, over
the next 10 to 15 years they will need 75,000 leaders who can work
effectively in global environments; today they have only 3,000 to 5,000.
Management talent generally comes from several sources offshoring
enterprises that train lower-level workers, industries that produce managers
with relevant skills, and expatriates who have worked or studied in
countries with developed economies. But people from all of these sources are
scarce in China. Although multinational companies there do currently train
and promote managers from entry-level positions, the process is time
consuming and costly. Moreover, with levels of foreign direct investment so
high, multinationals often resort to poaching from each other. The problem
is all the worse because not many middle managers can be hired from Chinese
companies; only people employed by very high-performing ones (such as the
consumer electronics company TCL) have the skills and cultural attributes
needed to work for the multinationals. A more plentiful source of
middle-management talent is the large number of ethnic Chinese who fill
management roles for companies in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan. These
people can be recruited to mainland China but often require
"local-plus" packages: wages and benefits above what the locals
receive, though less than the full expatriate package.
Why fix the problem?
A shortage of world-class university graduates in
key occupations such as finance, accounting, engineering, and business
represents a major problem for multinationals in China, for Chinese
companies, and for the country's policy makers. Companies need these
graduates to improve their marketing and product-development efforts, to
understand consumer tastes, to develop customer service and
after-sales-service operations, and to raise their local financial and
accounting standards. In the longer term, China's economy as a whole needs
more such graduates if it is to compete in the world beyond the simpler,
labor-intensive manufacturing areas in which it is now the global leader.
As economies develop, they shift from labor-intensive
manufacturing to higher-value areas, notably marketing, product design, and
the manufacture of sophisticated intermediate inputs. Northern Italy's
textile and apparel industry, for example, has moved most garment production
to lower-cost locations, but employment remains stable because companies
have put more resources into tasks such as designing clothes and
coordinating global production networks. Similarly, in the US automotive
industry, imports of finished cars from Mexico increased rapidly after the
North American Free Trade Agreement took effect, but at the same time
exports of US auto parts to Mexico have quadrupled, allowing much of the
more capital-intensive work and many of the higher-paid jobs to remain in
the United States.
With an estimated 150 million surplus unskilled
rural workers, who can be hired mainly by manufacturers, China is decades
away from developing a consumer-oriented service economy. But policy makers
must make that their ultimate aspiration. No nation will remain the world's
low-cost manufacturer forever, and if it were to try to do so, its living
standards would stagnate at today's levels or even decline. Today China's
economy is greatly tilted toward manufacturing, and the services sector is
notably underdeveloped (Exhibit 3). But in China, as in all economies,
services will be the future engine of job growth. According to Alliance
Capital Management, the country's manufacturing sector shed 15 million jobs
from 1995 to 2002, when large state-owned factories restructured their
operations. As manufacturing productivity rises, still more jobs will be
lost.
Creating the conditions that attract offshore
services operations will help China move up the ladder. The country does
have some strong advantages in this arena, notably low labor costs, an
enormous domestic market, and a relatively high-quality infrastructure.
Offshore services activities are often developed from existing operations,
so China's services offshoring sector is most likely to arise as an offshoot
of the activities of companies that are already there.
Pharmaceutical and software companies will
probably take the lead, for in these industries some multinationals have
already set up Chinese R&D operations to customize products for local
needs. Several players now use incremental capacity in their Chinese R&D
facilities to serve overseas markets too. Pharma companies can also run
bigger, and therefore faster, clinical trials in China more cheaply, thereby
cutting overall product-development costs as well as approval and release
times. In addition, mainland China could emerge as a base for business
process offshoring by multinationals that serve Chinese-speaking populations
elsewhere such as Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan if the country solves its
looming shortage of qualified labor.
Addressing the shortage
Raising the quality of China's graduates will be a
long-term effort, but even modest improvements would make a huge difference.
If the proportion of Chinese engineering graduates who could work at global
companies increased to 25 percent (as it is in India), from today's 10
percent, China's pool of qualified young engineers would be among the
world's largest by 2008.
How can the country raise the quality of its
graduates? First, it must change the way it finances its universities.
Expenditures for tertiary education are growing quite rapidly from 2000 to
2002, by more than 50 percent. The number of students increased even more,
however, so expenditures per student fell by 5 percent. Funding is also
spread unevenly throughout the country: in Beijing average spending per
student is more than 30 percent higher than it is in second-place Shanghai
and more than twice the level in 25 of the 31 provinces. More money should
be focused on raising quality than quantity, and funds for institutions in
places other than Beijing and Shanghai should rise dramatically.
In addition, China must continue to improve its
English-language instruction. Since 2001, the Ministry of Education has
required all students to start learning English in third grade. This is a
step in the right direction and will pay dividends in the long run, but
English classes are still very large, even at universities, because teachers
are in short supply. Furthermore, conversational skills receive too little
attention. To resolve both of these issues, China must train many more
English teachers and do more to recruit them from abroad.
For the foreseeable future, companies themselves
will have to invest more in training and developing the talent they need.
When Microsoft, for instance, outsourced part of its Web-based technical
support to Shanghai Wicresoft, a 400-employee joint venture with the
Shanghai municipal government, it hired ten native US English speakers to
teach their Chinese coworkers about US e-mail protocol and writing style.
These instructors hold language classes and meet one-on-one with Chinese
employees to assess their progress, an effort that raises the joint
venture's personnel costs by about 15 percent but brings the language skills
of Chinese workers up to speed. Other foreign companies are developing
management-training courses, sometimes in collaboration with local business
schools, to upgrade the skills of existing middle and top managers.
Companies can also work with policy makers and
university leaders to bring curriculums not only at the top universities but
also throughout the university system more in line with the needs of
industry. Software projects are team efforts that require less theoretical
knowledge than application skills, which Chinese graduates lack, according
to managers at multinational companies. In response, Microsoft has formed
partnerships with four universities in China to establish software labs
where student interns learn practical software-development skills. Other
companies should adopt similar policies. Such public-private education
programs make students more suitable for good jobs with world-class
companies and ease the transition to middle-management roles later on.
Finally, China's policy makers must ensure that
its many students who study abroad return home, since a relatively high
proportion of them have the skills needed to work for multinationals. In
2003, some 120,000 Chinese students were studying abroad the highest number
of any of the 28 countries whose supply of graduates MGI has investigated.
Moreover, half of these Chinese students were living in the United States,
the largest overseas market linked to China. India's diaspora, including
people who have returned to their homeland, has played an important role in
the growth of the Indian IT and business process services sector while
helping to alleviate the country's management shortage. China too needs its
expats.
China faces a looming labor shortage that could
stall not only its economic growth but also its migration up the value
chain. Reforms in the educational system including a greater emphasis on
practical and language skills will help the country fill its skilled-labor
gap.
About the Authors
Diana Farrell is director of the McKinsey Global Institute, and Andrew Grant
is a director in McKinsey's Shanghai office.The authors would like to
acknowledge the contributions of Martha Laboissiere, Jaeson Rosenfeld,
Sascha Sturze, and Fusayo Umezawa. -
10 Nov 2005 SINGAPORE
BUSINESS TIMES
China's
management pool is shallow
BEIJING — With a flurry of
high-priced bids for U.S. corporations, Chinese companies may be proving
their financial heft. But their shortage of globally savvy executives could
handicap such trans-Pacific mergers.
"Most of these big Chinese companies are
still state-owned. The managers are coming from a 'government takes care of
everything' background," says Stella Hou of Hewitt Associates' Shanghai
office.
Thursday, the state-run China National Offshore
Oil Corp. (CNOOC) said it would launch an $18.5 billion unsolicited bid for
Unocal. Earlier this week, the Haier Group, whose CEO is on the ruling
Communist Party's Central Committee, announced a $1.3 billion offer to buy
Maytag. And last month, Lenovo spent $1.8 billion to acquire IBM's personal
computer business.
As they emerge on the global stage, Chinese
companies will need 75,000 world-class managers during the next 10 to 15
years, according to commercial intelligence firm Asia Pulse. Today, there
are only an estimated 3,000 to 5,000 such executives, it said last month.
"Good Chinese managers can manage Chinese
companies the Chinese way. When it comes to Western management techniques,
that's where they're lacking," says Mick McGeehan, general manager of
headhunter J.M. Gemini. "It's a very small talent pool."
Even skilled Chinese executives can find U.S.
workplaces disorienting. Interpersonal communications are far blunter than
in China. Chinese CEOs usually delegate less responsibility to their
subordinates than Americans expect. And Chinese managers also aren't used to
tough laws on sexual harassment or equal opportunity.
Today's manager shortfall is the result of China's
turbulent history and its economic development since 1978, when it began
adopting market-driven policies. Chinese managers in their 40s and 50s —
prime CEO and senior-management candidates — saw their educations
disrupted by the societal chaos of the 1966-1976 Cultural Revolution.
The Chinese companies now attempting to become
global powers also have long been focused almost entirely on the domestic
market. Their managers may know Nanjing and Chongqing. But Nashville and
Cincinnati are mysteries.
"The No. 1 problem is a lack of background in
global management. ... They've never really had management experience
abroad," says Hu Zuohao, a management professor at Tsinghua University.
Academic programs are sprouting to meet the thirst
for management skills. There are now 150 to 200 MBA or executive MBA
programs in China, vs. almost none in the early 1990s, says a 2004 report by
the U.S Consulate in Shanghai. -
By David J. Lynch, USA
TODAY 23 June 2005
Having said all this though, there is
tremendous upside in doing business in Asia:
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