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 ASIA

There is a shortage of top level management skills
in Asia. The skill sets we have are unique in the world.
Just a handful have multi-continent working experience with a rolodex that
access the top executives on 4 or 5 continents
Asia's skills shortage
Despite its booming economies and huge numbers of people, Asia is
suffering a big shortage of skills. And it is about to get worse
It seems odd. In the world's most populous region the biggest problem facing
employers is a shortage of people. Asia has more than half the planet's
inhabitants and is home to many of the world's fastest-growing economies.
But some businesses are being forced to reconsider just how quickly they
will be able to grow, because they cannot find enough people with the skills
they need.
In a recent survey, 600 chief executives of multinational companies with
businesses across Asia said a shortage of qualified staff ranked as their
biggest concern in China (see chart 1) and South-East Asia. It was their
second-biggest headache in Japan (after cultural differences) and the
fourth-biggest in India (after problems with infrastructure, bureaucracy and
wage inflation). Across almost every industry and sector it was the same.

Old Asia-hands may find it easy to understand why there is such concern.
The region's rapid economic growth has fished out the pool of available
talent, they would say. But there is also a failure of education. Recent
growth in many parts of Asia has been so great that it has rapidly
transformed the type of skills needed by businesses. Schools and
universities have been unable to keep up.
Taking wing
This is especially true for professional staff. Airlines are one example.
With increasing deregulation, many new carriers are setting up and airlines
are offering more services to meet demand. But there is a dreadful shortage
of pilots. According to Alteon Training, the commercial-pilot training arm
of Boeing, India has fewer than 3,000 pilots today but will need more than
12,000 by 2025. China will need to find an average of 2,200 new pilots a
year just to keep up with the growth in air travel, which means it will need
more than 40,000 pilots by 2025. In the meantime, with big international
airlines training only a few hundred pilots a year, Asian airlines have
taken to poaching them, often from each other. Philippine Airlines, for
instance, lost 75 pilots to overseas airlines during the past three years.
China has been trying to lure pilots from Brazil, among other places.
Similar problems are bedevilling the legal profession, which is suffering
from a grave shortage of lawyers and judges. This can cause a long backlog
of cases and other complications in what are sometimes rudimentary legal
systems. It can damage the way business is done, for instance in dealing
with intellectual property or settling contract disputes. According to the
All-China Lawyers Association, the country has only 122,000 lawyers. That is
70,000 fewer than California where the population is only 37m (against
China's 1.3 billion). Many business people might argue that California is
overlawyered, but there are parts of China without any lawyers at all.
A report presented at the Chinese Party Congress in March by the Jiu San
Society, a group of progressive Chinese intellectuals, stressed the shortage
of doctors. There are only 4,000 general practitioners in China. But if the
government is to achieve its ambition of establishing community hospitals
for the country's 500m urban residents, it will need 160,000 doctors to
staff them. There is a huge shortage of nursing staff as well.
The scarcity of accountants is already having a regional impact. In order
to list their shares in Hong Kong or Shanghai, many Chinese companies are
busy preparing internationally acceptable accounts and statutory reports.
With the country's own bean-counters trained in Communist-era
systems—which never paid heed to capitalist ideas like profits or
assets—accountants are being lured to the mainland from Hong Kong and the
rest of the region. A senior manager at one of the big audit firms recently
arrived in Hong Kong after a long stint in Russia, took one look at his
firm's ambitious growth plans and asked: “How are we going to do this
without enough staff?”
Technical skills, particularly in information technology, are lacking in
many parts of the region, even India. One of the main concerns is that there
are not enough skilled graduates to fill all the jobs being created in a
vibrant sector. Nasscom, which represents India's software companies, has
estimated that there could be a shortfall of 500,000 IT professionals by 2010. This means companies recruiting at job fairs in India
are having to make lucrative offers to capture the most promising students.
Even a junior software-engineer can expect to take home $45,000 a year.
There is also a severe shortage of good managers. A study by the McKinsey
Global Institute predicts that 75,000 business leaders will be needed in
China in the next ten years. It estimates the current stock at just 3,000 to
5,000. And that assessment could prove optimistic. The study, which covered
a broad spectrum of businesses and surveyed more than 80 human-resources
managers, found that less than “10% of Chinese job candidates, on average,
were suitable for work in a foreign company.” In engineering, for example,
graduates were criticised for being too immersed in theory and not enough in
practice. It concluded that the available pool of engineering talent in
China was no larger than that in Britain, which now has a mostly service
economy.
China is even suffering from something of a brain drain. In recent years
the Chinese have been able to travel abroad more freely to study and acquire
skills. But many do not return. A recent report by the Chinese Academy of
Social Sciences found that between 1978 and 2006, just over 1m Chinese went
to study overseas and some 70% of them did not go back. The brightest are
often tempted to stay abroad by local employers, because the competition for
jobs has become global.
The skills shortage comes in two forms: higher staff turnover and rising
wage costs. Pay rates for senior staff in many parts of Asia already exceed
those for similar staff in much of Europe. The going rate for a
human-resources director working for a medium-to-large multinational in
Shanghai is now $250,000 a year, and that is for “someone who has probably
never even left China,” says Vanessa Moriel, the managing partner of Human
Capital Partners, a Shanghai-based consulting firm. The chief executive of
an international business based in India can expect to earn
$400,000-500,000, with many earning well over $750,000, according to Korn/Ferry,
a consultancy. For a chief finance officer the average pay is now $194,000
in China, $159,000 in Thailand, $157,000 in Malaysia and $73,000 in India.
Wages for lower-level staff are also rising quickly, increasing by 14% in
Indonesia last year, 11% in India and 8% in China—well above the rates of
inflation in each country.
Another year, another job
A high staff-turnover rate helps to force up wage costs, and
turnover-rates can exceed 30% a year in some places in Asia. Fiducia, a Hong
Kong-based consultancy, reckons that the additional hiring and training
costs of operating in Asia add a further 15% to the basic costs of employing
someone. Factories in southern China now plan for a 4% loss of staff just in
the week immediately after Chinese New Year, because people seem to like to
start the new year with a new job. In middle management, the average
retention period of an employee in Shanghai is just 1.8 years, with
human-resources managers among the most difficult to keep. Some job
applicants are known as “jumpers” because of their tendency to switch
jobs every two years.
Struggling with high staff-turnover is harder still when many firms are
also trying to expand. Last year Flextronics, a big electronics
manufacturer, wanted to increase staff numbers in Shenzhen from 27,000 to
43,000. But to get a net increase of 16,000 people, it had to hire more than
20,000 because over the same period it had 4,000 employees leave.
As well as excessive wage inflation there is also “title inflation”
and “responsibility inflation”. Relatively inexperienced local managers
are sometimes given ever-grander titles—much to the chagrin of their
counterparts from Europe and America, who can find themselves sitting beside
much less able and more junior colleagues described as “Senior Executive
Vice President” or “Regional Chairman”. But these honours are handed
out for a reason: many employers in Asia have found that awarding new titles
to employees every 18 months or so can be a good way to keep them.
Giving greater responsibility to staff is more troublesome. Yet many
inexperienced managers in China are being given powerful regional roles or
are promoted to positions where they lack sufficient knowledge or ability.
Even though they may not seem ready for the job, it is often seen as the
only way to keep them on the payroll.
A problem for years to come
As if all this were not bad enough, the Asian talent shortage is set to
get worse. The predicted inflow of investment, together with the growth of
local companies and the rising expectations of foreign
investors—especially as other markets are slowing—mean that the pressure
to find and keep staff is mounting.
Demography will also play a big role, especially as labour forces in both
China and Japan shrink over the next two decades. This means, for instance,
that the already difficult job of finding creative software-engineers will
become ever harder in northern Asia, which in turn will increase demand for
staff in India and other markets where demographic problems do not exist.
But that only points to an even bigger threat which may take a generation
to fix: education. In much of South-East Asia most people are educated only
to the age of 12. More than half of the women in India are illiterate.
Nearly two-thirds of the children in government primary schools in India
cannot read a simple story. Half cannot solve simple numerical problems.
China's educational difficulties are different—and often linked to the
country's history. Universities were closed during the Cultural Revolution
and few well-educated people entered the workforce for over a decade. This
has resulted in a lost generation of business people between the ages of 50
and 60, exactly the age group from where many of China's corporate leaders
should be drawn today.
Those who were children (and typically without siblings because of
China's one-child policy) after the Cultural Revolution have other things to
deal with. Their parents had often been sent for re-education in the fields
and many were brought up far away from home by strangers. Perhaps in
response to this harshness, they have brought up their own children rather
indulgently. What is known as the “little emperor syndrome” is a
particular weakness in boys. Many older Chinese believe this younger
generation, doted on by grandparents and parents, lacks a work ethic. It has
even become a bit of a slur to say of someone that “they were born in the
1980s”.
Girls born after the Cultural Revolution are much less likely to have
been spoilt, which means some employers see them as good hires. Liam Casey,
the boss of PCH China Solutions, a contract-manufacturer in southern China, says he once noticed in a shopping
mall that there were typically groups of seven people or groups of three.
The groups of seven consisted of two sets of grandparents, parents and a
boy. Those of three comprised parents and a daughter. He says he realised
then that girls were valued less by society and that if he hired them and
showed them loyalty, they would be more loyal in return. This is one reason,
he says, that his business has much lower rates of staff turnover than his
rivals' businesses do.
But even hiring women is getting harder. In Zhuhai another foreign
manufacturer which hires staff from all over China says it prefers to
recruit women too. The managers believe that women are generally
harder-working and tend to stay longer. But schools and universities have
cottoned on to this now and set quotas on the number of women that firms can
recruit. The company says that for every group of women it selects, it now
has to hire a share of men too.
Team building
In the face of so many problems, what can employers do? Building a
skilled workforce is as much about a company's general attitude as its
tactics, says Michael Bekins, the managing director of Korn/Ferry in Hong
Kong. The first part of that mindset is realising that retention is more
important than recruitment, he says. He thinks all managers in Asia should
be explicitly measured on their ability to keep a team together.
Some ways of doing that are more obvious than others. Paying higher wages
to employees, say most managers and recruitment specialists, is certainly
not enough. Pay should be seen as only part of any package. Delaying bonus
payments with a reward at the end of say, three years, can work well, but
increases costs. Offering career planning, training, “personal-development
road maps”, mentoring and the rest of the modern HR kitbag seems to go down well (see chart 2), though managing expectations is
critical. One company in South-East Asia has a “welcome the boomerangers”
policy, making it easy for anyone who has left to come back. The big
accounting firms have programmes to keep in touch with people who leave.

Some employers argue that you should focus on the family not just the
employee. Offering support for children's education and helping the families
of staff resettle can build loyalty. With expatriates, this is crucial.
According to one consultant, 85% of expatriates in China leave because their
families do not like living there. Life can be especially hard in smaller
cities, where there are few other foreigners, international schools or
decent restaurants and little to do in your time off. Many spouses complain
of feeling like prisoners in their gated communities while their partners
are away, heady with the thrill of running the firm's fastest-growing
division.
There are less obvious ways to keep people too. A prestigious brand can
be valuable in more ways than one; Asians seem attracted to the idea of
working for well-known firms. Having a fashionable office can be a big help.
And providing courses in stress management or etiquette can be attractive.
So is giving staff club memberships. Even providing staff with the latest PDA's
and mobile phones can work wonders (see chart 2). And, if a company has a
canteen, it should make sure it hires a good chef.
One of the more creative options for employers is to offer flexible
working hours and sabbaticals. Although these are unusual in Asia, they can
help staff who have young children or elderly parents to care for. But there
are some dangers. It is common, especially in China, for employees to run
private businesses on the side. Giving them more time for outside activities
may not be in a company's best interests. It could also be counterproductive
in some parts of Asia, were workers want a job in order to make as much
money as fast as they can.
Hiring Asians who have been educated overseas and bringing them back does
not always work. They often expect to be paid a lot. Some demand expatriate
packages with paid flights back to America or Europe. They may also be out
of touch with local developments. But the biggest difficulty is that their
colleagues frequently resent them. This is especially so in China, where one
of the politer names for returning people is hai gui or sea
turtles. A similar attitude sometimes turns up in India too. Companies find
that the turtles tend to fit in best in the finance industry or in privately
owned businesses.
With such a mismatch between supply and demand in Asia's labour markets,
companies will have to become better at hiring good staff and keeping them.
But as some companies will always be better at this than others, the
job-hopping and poaching are set to continue for many years, until education
and training catch up. The consequences of that are stark. “It will limit
the growth. It has to,” says Korn/Ferry's Mr Bekins. Which means that
without talented recruiting policies, some firms may end up scaling back
their bold Asian growth-plans. ECONOMIST
2007 August 16
China's looming talent shortage
To make the move from manufacturing to services, China must
raise the quality of its university graduates
 
With a huge supply of low-cost workers, mainland China has fast become the
world's manufacturing workshop, supplying everything from textiles to toys
to computer chips. Given the country's millions of university graduates, is
it set to become a giant in offshore IT and business process services as
well?
New research from the McKinsey Global Institute (MGI)
suggests that this outcome is unlikely. The reason: few of China's vast number of university graduates are capable
of working successfully in the services export sector, and the fast-growing
domestic economy absorbs most of those who could. Indeed, far from presaging
a thriving offshore services sector, our research points to a looming
shortage of homegrown talent, with serious implications for the
multinationals now in China and for the growing number of Chinese companies
with global ambitions.
If China is to avoid this talent crunch and to
sustain its economic ascent, it must produce more graduates fit for
employment in world-class companies, whether local or foreign. Raising the
graduates' quality will allow the economy to evolve from its present
domination by manufacturing and toward a future in which services play the
leading role�as they eventually must when any economy develops and
matures. The conditions for a flourishing offshore services sector will then
surely follow.
Today's big companies do very little to enhance
the productivity of their professionals. In fact, their vertically oriented
organisational structures, retrofitted with ad hoc and matrix overlays,
nearly always make professional work more complex and inefficient. These
vertical structures - relics of the industrial age - are singularly ill
suited to the professional work process. Professionals cooperate
horizontally with one another throughout a company, yet vertical structures
force such men and women to search across poorly connected organisational
silos to find knowledge and collaborators and to gain their cooperation once
they have been found.
The supply paradox

China's pool of potential talent is enormous. In
2003 China had roughly 8.5 million young professional graduates with up to
seven years' work experience and an additional 97 million people that would
qualify for support-staff positions.
Despite this apparently vast supply, multinational
companies are finding that few graduates have the necessary skills for
service occupations. According to interviews with 83 human-resources
professionals involved with hiring local graduates in low-wage countries,
fewer than 10 percent of Chinese job candidates, on average, would be
suitable for work in a foreign company in the nine occupations we studied:
engineers, finance workers, accountants, quantitative analysts, generalists,
life science researchers, doctors, nurses, and support staff.
Consider engineers. China has 1.6 million young
ones, more than any other country we examined. Indeed, 33 percent of the
university students in China study engineering, compared with 20 percent in
Germany and just 4 percent in India. But the main drawback of Chinese
applicants for engineering jobs, our interviewees said, is the educational
system's bias toward theory. Compared with engineering graduates in Europe
and North America, who work in teams to achieve practical solutions, Chinese
students get little practical experience in projects or teamwork. The result
of these differences is that China's pool of young engineers considered
suitable for work in multinationals is just 160,000 no larger than the
United Kingdom's. Hence the paradox of shortages amid plenty.
For jobs in the eight other occupations we
studied, poor English was the main reason our interviewees gave for
rejecting Chinese applicants. Only 3 percent of them can be considered for
generalist service positions (those that don't require a degree in any
particular subject). Overall communication style and cultural fit are also
difficult hurdles. One Chinese HR professional points out, for example, that
Chinese software engineers would find it hard to draw up an information
flowchart for an international five-star hotel, not because they don't
understand flowcharts, but because state-run hotels in China the only ones
they know are so very different. Some people argue that a willingness to
work long hours will compensate for any deficiencies in the suitability of
China's talent. Although this may hold true to some extent in manufacturing,
it is likely to make only a marginal difference in services because of the
specific skill deficiencies that come into play.
On top of the generally low suitability of Chinese
graduates, they are widely dispersed. Well over 1,500 colleges and
universities produced the 1.7 million students who graduated in 2003, and
likely less than one-third of them had studied in any of the top ten
university cities (Exhibit 1). Just one-quarter of all Chinese graduates
live in a city or region close to a major international airport a
requirement of most multinationals setting up offshore facilities.
Compounding that problem is a lack of mobility: only one-third of all
Chinese graduates move to other provinces for work. (By contrast, almost
half of all Indian students graduate close to a major international hub,
such as Bangalore, Delhi, Hyderabad, and Mumbai, and most are quite willing
to move.) As a result of these two factors, world-class companies that want
to hire service labor in China have difficulty reaching as much as half of
the total pool of graduates.
Finally, companies that wish to set up services
offshoring operations in China face more competition for talent than they
would in other low-wage locations. In India and the Philippines, for
example, the local economy is growing less briskly, and working for a
company that provides offshore services is therefore a good option. In
China, domestic and multinational companies serving the fast-growing
domestic market already provide attractive opportunities for suitable
graduates, and there are many more jobs in the manufacturing export sector.
As a result, it's wrong to assume, as many companies do, that every suitable
young professional in China is available for hire in the services offshoring
sector.

The looming war for talent
More crucially, companies that are already in
China and serve its fast-growing domestic market will also, our research
shows, have difficulty finding enough suitable employees in key service and
managerial occupations.
The demand for labor from just the large
foreign-owned companies and joint ventures that now do business in China
highlights the problem. From 1998 to 2002, employment in these two
categories rose by 12 and 23 percent a year, respectively, to about
2,700,000 workers. Assuming that 30 percent of these workers must have at
least a college degree and that the labor demands of such companies continue
to grow at the same rates, they will have to employ an additional 750,000
graduates from 2003 through 2008. China, we estimate, will produce 1,200,000
graduates suitable for employment in world-class service companies during
that period. So large foreign multinationals and joint ventures alone will
take up to 60 percent of China's suitable graduates before demand from
smaller multinationals or Chinese companies even enters the picture (Exhibit
2).
If these numbers suggest fierce competition for
China's best graduates, unemployment statistics confirm that impression. In
2003 just 1 percent of the country's university graduates were unemployed an
almost negligible rate. Unemployment among the graduates of China's colleges
is a bit higher, at about 6 percent.
Effective managers are in short supply as well. We
estimate that given the global aspirations of many Chinese companies, over
the next 10 to 15 years they will need 75,000 leaders who can work
effectively in global environments; today they have only 3,000 to 5,000.
Management talent generally comes from several sources offshoring
enterprises that train lower-level workers, industries that produce managers
with relevant skills, and expatriates who have worked or studied in
countries with developed economies. But people from all of these sources are
scarce in China. Although multinational companies there do currently train
and promote managers from entry-level positions, the process is time
consuming and costly. Moreover, with levels of foreign direct investment so
high, multinationals often resort to poaching from each other. The problem
is all the worse because not many middle managers can be hired from Chinese
companies; only people employed by very high-performing ones (such as the
consumer electronics company TCL) have the skills and cultural attributes
needed to work for the multinationals. A more plentiful source of
middle-management talent is the large number of ethnic Chinese who fill
management roles for companies in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan. These
people can be recruited to mainland China but often require
"local-plus" packages: wages and benefits above what the locals
receive, though less than the full expatriate package.
Why fix the problem?
A shortage of world-class university graduates in
key occupations such as finance, accounting, engineering, and business
represents a major problem for multinationals in China, for Chinese
companies, and for the country's policy makers. Companies need these
graduates to improve their marketing and product-development efforts, to
understand consumer tastes, to develop customer service and
after-sales-service operations, and to raise their local financial and
accounting standards. In the longer term, China's economy as a whole needs
more such graduates if it is to compete in the world beyond the simpler,
labor-intensive manufacturing areas in which it is now the global leader.
As economies develop, they shift from labor-intensive
manufacturing to higher-value areas, notably marketing, product design, and
the manufacture of sophisticated intermediate inputs. Northern Italy's
textile and apparel industry, for example, has moved most garment production
to lower-cost locations, but employment remains stable because companies
have put more resources into tasks such as designing clothes and
coordinating global production networks. Similarly, in the US automotive
industry, imports of finished cars from Mexico increased rapidly after the
North American Free Trade Agreement took effect, but at the same time
exports of US auto parts to Mexico have quadrupled, allowing much of the
more capital-intensive work and many of the higher-paid jobs to remain in
the United States.
With an estimated 150 million surplus unskilled
rural workers, who can be hired mainly by manufacturers, China is decades
away from developing a consumer-oriented service economy. But policy makers
must make that their ultimate aspiration. No nation will remain the world's
low-cost manufacturer forever, and if it were to try to do so, its living
standards would stagnate at today's levels or even decline. Today China's
economy is greatly tilted toward manufacturing, and the services sector is
notably underdeveloped (Exhibit 3). But in China, as in all economies,
services will be the future engine of job growth. According to Alliance
Capital Management, the country's manufacturing sector shed 15 million jobs
from 1995 to 2002, when large state-owned factories restructured their
operations. As manufacturing productivity rises, still more jobs will be
lost.
Creating the conditions that attract offshore
services operations will help China move up the ladder. The country does
have some strong advantages in this arena, notably low labor costs, an
enormous domestic market, and a relatively high-quality infrastructure.
Offshore services activities are often developed from existing operations,
so China's services offshoring sector is most likely to arise as an offshoot
of the activities of companies that are already there.
Pharmaceutical and software companies will
probably take the lead, for in these industries some multinationals have
already set up Chinese R&D operations to customize products for local
needs. Several players now use incremental capacity in their Chinese R&D
facilities to serve overseas markets too. Pharma companies can also run
bigger, and therefore faster, clinical trials in China more cheaply, thereby
cutting overall product-development costs as well as approval and release
times. In addition, mainland China could emerge as a base for business
process offshoring by multinationals that serve Chinese-speaking populations
elsewhere such as Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan if the country solves its
looming shortage of qualified labor.
Addressing the shortage
Raising the quality of China's graduates will be a
long-term effort, but even modest improvements would make a huge difference.
If the proportion of Chinese engineering graduates who could work at global
companies increased to 25 percent (as it is in India), from today's 10
percent, China's pool of qualified young engineers would be among the
world's largest by 2008.
How can the country raise the quality of its
graduates? First, it must change the way it finances its universities.
Expenditures for tertiary education are growing quite rapidly from 2000 to
2002, by more than 50 percent. The number of students increased even more,
however, so expenditures per student fell by 5 percent. Funding is also
spread unevenly throughout the country: in Beijing average spending per
student is more than 30 percent higher than it is in second-place Shanghai
and more than twice the level in 25 of the 31 provinces. More money should
be focused on raising quality than quantity, and funds for institutions in
places other than Beijing and Shanghai should rise dramatically.
In addition, China must continue to improve its
English-language instruction. Since 2001, the Ministry of Education has
required all students to start learning English in third grade. This is a
step in the right direction and will pay dividends in the long run, but
English classes are still very large, even at universities, because teachers
are in short supply. Furthermore, conversational skills receive too little
attention. To resolve both of these issues, China must train many more
English teachers and do more to recruit them from abroad.
For the foreseeable future, companies themselves
will have to invest more in training and developing the talent they need.
When Microsoft, for instance, outsourced part of its Web-based technical
support to Shanghai Wicresoft, a 400-employee joint venture with the
Shanghai municipal government, it hired ten native US English speakers to
teach their Chinese coworkers about US e-mail protocol and writing style.
These instructors hold language classes and meet one-on-one with Chinese
employees to assess their progress, an effort that raises the joint
venture's personnel costs by about 15 percent but brings the language skills
of Chinese workers up to speed. Other foreign companies are developing
management-training courses, sometimes in collaboration with local business
schools, to upgrade the skills of existing middle and top managers.
Companies can also work with policy makers and
university leaders to bring curriculums not only at the top universities but
also throughout the university system more in line with the needs of
industry. Software projects are team efforts that require less theoretical
knowledge than application skills, which Chinese graduates lack, according
to managers at multinational companies. In response, Microsoft has formed
partnerships with four universities in China to establish software labs
where student interns learn practical software-development skills. Other
companies should adopt similar policies. Such public-private education
programs make students more suitable for good jobs with world-class
companies and ease the transition to middle-management roles later on.
Finally, China's policy makers must ensure that
its many students who study abroad return home, since a relatively high
proportion of them have the skills needed to work for multinationals. In
2003, some 120,000 Chinese students were studying abroad the highest number
of any of the 28 countries whose supply of graduates MGI has investigated.
Moreover, half of these Chinese students were living in the United States,
the largest overseas market linked to China. India's diaspora, including
people who have returned to their homeland, has played an important role in
the growth of the Indian IT and business process services sector while
helping to alleviate the country's management shortage. China too needs its
expats.
China faces a looming labor shortage that could
stall not only its economic growth but also its migration up the value
chain. Reforms in the educational system including a greater emphasis on
practical and language skills will help the country fill its skilled-labor
gap.
About the Authors
Diana Farrell is director of the McKinsey Global Institute, and Andrew Grant
is a director in McKinsey's Shanghai office.The authors would like to
acknowledge the contributions of Martha Laboissiere, Jaeson Rosenfeld,
Sascha Sturze, and Fusayo Umezawa. - 10 Nov
2005 SINGAPORE
BUSINESS TIMES
China's
management pool is shallow
BEIJING — With a flurry of high-priced bids for
U.S. corporations, Chinese companies may be proving their financial heft.
But their shortage of globally savvy executives could handicap such
trans-Pacific mergers.
"Most of these big
Chinese companies are still state-owned. The managers are coming from a
'government takes care of everything' background," says Stella Hou of
Hewitt Associates' Shanghai office.
Thursday, the state-run China
National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) said it would launch an $18.5 billion
unsolicited bid for Unocal. Earlier this week, the Haier Group, whose CEO is
on the ruling Communist Party's Central Committee, announced a $1.3 billion
offer to buy Maytag. And last month, Lenovo spent $1.8 billion to acquire
IBM's personal computer business.
As they emerge on the global
stage, Chinese companies will need 75,000 world-class managers during the
next 10 to 15 years, according to commercial intelligence firm Asia Pulse.
Today, there are only an estimated 3,000 to 5,000 such executives, it said
last month.
"Good Chinese managers
can manage Chinese companies the Chinese way. When it comes to Western
management techniques, that's where they're lacking," says Mick
McGeehan, general manager of headhunter J.M. Gemini. "It's a very small
talent pool."
Even skilled Chinese
executives can find U.S. workplaces disorienting. Interpersonal
communications are far blunter than in China. Chinese CEOs usually delegate
less responsibility to their subordinates than Americans expect. And Chinese
managers also aren't used to tough laws on sexual harassment or equal
opportunity.
Today's manager shortfall is
the result of China's turbulent history and its economic development since
1978, when it began adopting market-driven policies. Chinese managers in
their 40s and 50s — prime CEO and senior-management candidates — saw
their educations disrupted by the societal chaos of the 1966-1976 Cultural
Revolution.
The Chinese companies now
attempting to become global powers also have long been focused almost
entirely on the domestic market. Their managers may know Nanjing and
Chongqing. But Nashville and Cincinnati are mysteries.
"The No. 1 problem is a
lack of background in global management. ... They've never really had
management experience abroad," says Hu Zuohao, a management professor
at Tsinghua University.
Academic programs are
sprouting to meet the thirst for management skills. There are now 150 to 200
MBA or executive MBA programs in China, vs. almost none in the early 1990s,
says a 2004 report by the U.S Consulate in Shanghai.
- By David J. Lynch, USA
TODAY 23 June 2005
Having said all this though, there is
tremendous upside in doing business in Asia:
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