INDIA REAL ESTATE TRENDS

 

 

COUNTRY FACTS

UK BUSINESS COUNCIL

INDIAN ETIQUETTE

INTERNATIONAL HOLIDAYS

CURRENCY CONVERTER

WORLD TIME ZONES

METRIC CONVERSION

 

Eyeing India's New Rich

Vikas Agnihotri is scrambling to find the talent to help manage India's wealth. As chief executive of Religare Macquarie Private Wealth, Mr. Agnihotri knows finding experienced staff to compete in a growth industry with a burgeoning market is a losing battle. The ranks of India's high net-worth individuals are growing too fast. "HNIs," as private bankers like to call them—usually defined as having at least $1 million in investible assets—have jumped about 11% a year, every year over the last decade, outpacing growth in the broader economy, according to consultants Bain & Co., which estimates their current numbers at 115,000.

Other issues make private banking in India a challenge. Regulations can be tricky, target customers are spread across diverse geographies, and they can be reluctant to hand over the reins to their newly acquired wealth. Mr. Agnihotri oversees the joint venture formed in 2007 by Australian financial services giant Macquarie Group and its Indian counterpart Religare, controlled by former Ranbaxy-owner Malvinder Mohan Singh—himself one of India's richest men. Duncan Mavin talked to Mr. Agnihotri in Singapore, where the banker elaborated on what it takes to manage a private-wealth business in India, and his international joint-venture bosses. The following interview has been edited.

WSJ: Is it tough having two, powerful joint-venture companies to report to?

Mr. Agnihotri: There is always a challenge. I have always had two bosses— my business and my wife. Now I have three. What is good about the joint venture bosses is they are giving me freedom within boundaries. Culturally, they have the same motivations and goals and commitment to the business.

WSJ: You've already hired 200 relationship managers. Now you are talking about 300 by the end of 2011. It sounds like a tall order to bring in that level of expertise.

Mr. Agnihotri: There's a dearth of talent. We've felt it more than anyone else because of the scale at which we are trying to hire. Prior to the financial crisis, anything you invested in would make phenomenal returns, so you had product pushers with limited knowledge.

Customers are more discerning now. We've developed a sound training platform, for wealth management and sales skills. We will not get people of experience but if we can get people with our values, we can train them and mold them because they are still youngsters.

WSJ: What are the key trends in India's private wealth management industry?

Mr. Agnihotri: There is a big group of newer rich that are asset rich but not necessarily cash rich, and they invest back into their businesses.

WSJ: What do you think Indian asset managers can learn from foreign firms?

Mr. Agnihotri: The key thing for us is the power of diversification as a concept that has come from Macquarie. We give advice across six asset classes including emerging markets and commodities, and that has been a big [lesson.]

The Indian market is also definitely opening up for HNIs to invest overseas, beyond U.S. equities and property.

WSJ: Religare has recently made waves outside India. Should we expect more of this from Indian financial services firms?

Mr. Agnihotri: Religare will make the country and the employees proud. The company is becoming a global player. I believe this is just the beginning. There are great opportunity for companies that are cash rich to look at some of the more developed countries. While we are all focusing on the growth countries, there could be tactical opportunities in developed countries.

WSJ: How do you think the joint-venture model in India will effect the current generation of Indian business leaders?

Mr. Agnihotri: For professionals, you need to be a global citizen, and you need to be open to different ways of thinking. It's like you're the conductor and you've got the parts of the orchestra to control. You've got to create the best music. Like fusion music.

WSJ: Foreign investors often cite red-tape and regulations as a barrier to the development of India's markets.

Mr. Agnihotri: Actually, it's a great advantage to India. It saved India from the crisis. People may say there are constraints. But foreign investors should be glad they are putting money into a country with a strong regulator.     -  2010 March 29   WALL ST. JOURNAL

 

Marks & Spencer learns India lessons
After eight years in India through a franchise deal, Marks & Spencer, in alliance with Reliance Retail, is learning from past mistakes and tailoring its offerings for Indian tastes. For instance it is offering more brightly coloured men's polo shirts, and higher necklines and lower sleeves for women's garments. "Until you put people on the ground in a country, you are never going to understand it," says Mark Ashman, chief executive of Marks & Spencer Reliance India. "And when you start putting your money in, you start making different decisions. It brings a different clarity, and clout."
     -  Financial Times (tiered subscription model) January 21, 2010

6 Indians among Asia's 15 youngest billionaires
10 firms make it to Forbes list of 50 best Asia-Pac companies

In a nod to India Inc's rising global superstardom, a slew of Indian entrepreneurs and companies have been accorded top honours by Forbes magazine.

Close on the heels of three Indian women achievers making it to the American magazine's coveted list of the world's 100 most powerful women, and another three topping the publication's list of billionaire heiresses recently, comes yet another set of honours.

Forbes has now included six young (below 40) Indian men in its list of 15 youngest Asian billionaires, while in another compilation 10 Indian companies - led by the state-run conglomerate Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL), telecom major Bharti Airtel and Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) - have made it to the magazine's list of 50 best companies in the Asia-Pacific region.

The Indian billionaires' list includes brothers Malvinder Singh and Shivinder Singh, who command a net worth of US$2.5 billion. The siblings control generic drug manufacturer Ranbaxy Laboratories, founded by their ancestors, which was sold earlier this year to Japan's Daiichi. Despite the sellout, Mr Malvinder Singh remains CEO of Ranbaxy, while Mr Shivinder Singh straddles the Indian hospital chain Fortis Healthcare, which went public in 2007.

Forbes has noted that India has maintained its pace in the money race and its 'millionaires jumped 23 per cent last year while the billionaire count soared to 53 from 36 the previous year'. India boasts a competitive demographic advantage in a young population, observed Forbes, and its six under-40 billionaires represent a cumulative worth of US$8.3 billion.

In the billionaires' list, Vikas Oberoi - of Oberoi Constructions - grabbed the second-richest young Indian honour with a net worth of US$1.7 billion. In 1998, Mr Oberoi took over Oberoi Constructions, set up by his father. Morgan Stanley paid US$152 million last year for a stake in the company.

Anurag Dikshit, worth a whopping US$1.6 billion, is the third-richest Indian in the list. Mr Dikshit spearheaded the development of technology that helped in the launch of online poker boom. He co-founded Party Gaming, which owns PartyPoker.com, with a college roommate. PartyPoker stock is off its 2005 high since US lawmakers cracked down on online gaming, 'but Dikshit still has plenty of chips', Forbes said.

Girish Tanti, who has a personal wealth of US$ 1.3 billion, is one of the founders of Suzlon Energy, the world's most valuable wind power company. Mr Tanti has a 12 per cent holding in Suzlon and manages its international business and human resources.

Sameer Gehlaut, with a net worth of US$1.2 billion, is India's youngest self-made billionaire.

As far as the fabulous 50 companies go, the 10 Indian outfits featured in the Forbes' list include BHEL, Bharti Airtel and RIL.

'Indian companies once again had a strong showing with 10 making our cut,' said Forbes. IT bellwether Infosys and software exporter Wipro, perennial top performers, are back for the fourth year. RIL, BHEL and engineering and infrastructure giant Larsen & Toubro are back for the third year, while consumer-oriented companies such as Bharti Airtel, HDFC Bank, car maker Mahindra & Mahindra and diversified conglomerate ITC are growing with India's middle class.

Private-sector lender HDFC Bank features at number 22, Infosys (25), ITC (27), Larsen & Toubro (30), Mahindra & Mahindra (34), RIL (39), world's sixth-largest steel maker Tata Steel (44) and Wipro (46).

BHEL, which is India's largest energy equipment provider, holds about 65 per cent market share of the country's power capacity additions. About Bharti, the report said that 'as many as 10 million new subscribers sign up every month for wireless access in India. And one in four signs up with Bharti Airtel'.

Forbes mentions that RIL is India's largest-private sector company, accounting for 3 per cent of the nation's GDP and 13 per cent of its exports.

Tata Steel, according to the magazine, had been morphed from a South Asian foundry by Ratan Tata into an enterprise girdling Asia, Europe and the United States, and credited with the US$13 billion takeover of Anglo-Dutch Corus Group last year.   - 2008 September 8

China now India's biggest trade partner

China has emerged as India's largest trade partner, overtaking the United States, according to the recent government-drafted Economic Survey for 2007-2008. According to the survey, China's trade share during the April-October period last year was even higher than that of the United States by six billion rupees (S$205.3 million).

Trade between India and China rose to almost US$39 billion in 2007. India is, however, the 10th largest trading partner of China. The 2010 trade target of US$60 billion set by the two countries should be easily achieved.

The survey highlights the emergence of Sino-Indian business relations as a recent phenomenon. In 2001-2002, the volume of trade between the two Asian giants was just a quarter of the trade between the US and India. There was a time when even the UK, Belgium, Germany, the United Arab Emirates and Switzerland were bigger trading partners than China. Today, China has overtaken all nations and now surpassed the US as well, according to the survey.

However, concerned about the rising trade deficit with China, the Indian authorities, according to the survey, say that the country's export policy with China needs to be carefully planned and the trade basket broadened. -   2008 March 11  BUSINESS TIMES

Investment in in the Indian real estate sector continues to grow, albeit the pace may be slowing just a little. Foreign developers as well as private equity funds remain bullish, long-term, on India's property market.

Not only is investment flowing into the 'first-tier' cities, but attractive real-estate deals are also being negotiated and signed in 'second-tier' cities such as Indore, Jaipur and Cochin.

From a foreign investor's perspective, the recent correction in real estate prices in some parts of India is good news in that it could result in land being available at attractive values.

But although Indian property may make an attractive investment for foreign investors, it is important that they address some of the regulatory issues prior to making an investment.

According to India's current foreign direct investment (FDI) policy, 100 per cent FDI is allowed under the automatic route - that is, without requiring government approval - for the construction and development projects that include housing, commercial premises, resorts, educational institutions, recreational facilities, city and regional-level infrastructure and townships.

But this is subject to certain conditions:

  • Minimum area for development under each project should be:

i) 10ha in the case of services housing plots; or

ii) 50,000 sq m in the case of construction development projects.

iii) In case the project is a combination of the two, any one of the two conditions would have to be met.

  • Minimum capitalisation of US$10 million for wholly owned subsidiaries and US$5 million for joint ventures with Indian parties.
  • The funds have to be brought in within six months of commencement of business of the company.
  • The original investment is subject to a lock-in period of three years from the completion of minimum capitalisation.
  • At least 50 per cent of the project must be developed within a period of five years from the date of obtaining all statutory clearances.
  • Investors would not be permitted to sell undeveloped plots.

Though the investment policy seems straightforward, investors still need to address some key issues and comply with other regulatory requirements.

For example, when it comes to funding, India's exchange control regulations permit external commercial borrowings (ECBs) - that is, commercial loans in the form of bank loans, buyers' credits, suppliers' credits, and loans from shareholders.

There are several restrictions on the end use of ECB funds. One of these is that the proceeds of ECBs cannot be used for the purpose of acquiring real estate in India. Accordingly, ECBs cannot be used for real estate development in India.

Preference shares are also considered as ECBs and, likewise, cannot be used to invest in a real estate project in India.

The only exception is the use of compulsory convertible preference shares or fully and mandatorily convertible debentures, which would be treated as part of equity and would be considered as FDI.

Therefore, apart from pure equity funding, only compulsory convertible preference shares and fully and mandatorily convertible debentures can be used. This would tend to minimise the options available for funding a project in India because all funds would have to be in the form of equity or instruments which can be converted into equity.

As per the FDI regulations, a foreign investor's original investment 'cannot be repatriated before a period of three years from completion of minimum capitalisation'.

Original investment

The question therefore arises as to the meaning of the term 'original investment'. Should the term be interpreted as 'minimum capitalisation' or should it be interpreted to mean the funds brought into the company in the first six months?

Since the term is not defined, it becomes important to have a correct interpretation, as the 'original investment' is subject to a three-year lock-in period. The view that seems to be emerging is that funds brought into the company in the initial six months - that is, the minimum capitalisation of the commencement of business - is the original investment and subject to the lock-in period.

However, the risk is that if an amount in excess of the minimum capitalisation is invested during the first six months, the entire amount would be treated as 'original investment' and would be subject to lock-in. To minimise this risk, only funds to the extent of minimum capitalisation should be invested during the first six months.

Investors in real estate have to bring the funds into India within six months of 'commencement of business'. Again, the term 'commencement of business' has not been defined. It can be interpreted in various ways; for instance, in the construction business it could mean the point at which construction actually commences.

The view emerging from Indian regulators is that the term 'commencement of business' means when the shareholders agreement or joint venture agreement is signed. Accordingly, the funds have to be invested within six months upon signing the agreement.

Finally, there are questions surrounding partially completed projects. The FDI guidelines do not clarify whether FDI would be permitted into these.

The question would arise as to the meaning of 'partially developed'. In this connection the view appears to be that if the project is less than 25 per cent complete, FDI would be permitted. However, in this case it may be prudent to seek prior approval of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board before making an investment.

Given the fact that India desperately needs good-quality housing and commercial space, the current slowdown in deals in India is likely to be temporary.

In due course, growth in the Indian real estate sector will resume with more acquisitions and consolidation. But foreign investors planning to enter India's real estate sector need to address a number of regulatory issues before they go in.   - 2008 August 27   BUSINESS TIMES  The writer Rolan Solanpakur is the head of tax of BDO Raffles in Singapore. The views expressed in this article are his own

India property boom could end in tears: US tycoon Sam Zell
Few can afford homes being built, he warns

2007 April 26 :(MUMBAI) 'The grave dancer', US tycoon Samuel Zell, was in a mood to spoil a two-year-long party when he told a gathering of Indian property executives this week they were 'on the brink of excess' and their boom would end in tears. The developers and fund managers could only agree.

The man who earned his nickname, and a US$4.5 billion fortune, picking up cheap offices in the 1990s US downturn and packaging them into a property trust sold last year for US$39 billion, said it was 'mental masturbation' to believe there were endless riches for investors in India's one billion person market. Only a top sliver of the population can afford to buy the homes being built.

'India's greatest asset today is everyone's imagination,' Mr Zell said. Many in the audience nodded in assent. The only difference of opinion among some of India's leading property professionals at the conference in Mumbai was how far property prices would drop, probably at some point in the next year - 10 per cent or 40 per cent?

The last time a property bubble burst in India, prices slumped by as much as 70 per cent between 1995 and 2001. But this time around, a raft of global funds raised by the likes of Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse are likely to step in looking for bargains and cushion the fall.

'Our expectation is that sometime in the course of this year you'll see a 30 to 40 percent drop in prices,' said Ajit Dayal, chief executive of fund manager Quantum Advisors. An estimated US$10 billion was raised internationally for Indian property funds last year. But rising mortgage rates and a doubling of property prices in major cities in the past two years will lift home prices beyond the reach of even the 40 million richest Indians that developers are targetting, he said.

Since 2004, 10-year bonds have risen around 300 basis points to 8 per cent, as the central bank seeks to control inflation in an economy that is estimated to have grown by 9.2 per cent in the year ended March 2007, its fastest pace in 18 years.

The price of a 100 sq m Bangalore flat has jumped 60 per cent in two years to US$100,000. Prime residential prices in Mumbai and New Delhi have doubled in that time to about 20 per cent lower than Shanghai and 40 per cent below Singapore and Hong Kong.

'It's very scary, prices are sky-high,' said Aditya Bhargava, an executive at fund manager Trikona Capital, which is raising a US$400 million fund for Indian property. 'I don't know when the correction will happen, but there's significant overheating.' - Reuters   26 April 2007  

Mumbai, New Delhi office rents surge

London's West End district remains the world's most expensive business location by some distance, but Mumbai and New Delhi are among locations that are catching up fast, data from CB Richard Ellis (CBRE) showed.

Occupancy costs for prime offices in the two leading Indian cities were between 75 and 100 per cent up on the previous year at between US$81 (S$125) and US$106 per square foot (psf) per annum, the global property services firm said.

That was still dwarfed by the US$212 psf typically charged in London's West End, but nonetheless pushed Mumbai and New Delhi into 7th and 11th place in the world rankings from 15th and 36th a year ago, CBRE said.

It said tightening vacancies and strong demand for space was fuelling rises in office rents worldwide thanks to diversified global economic growth.

However, supply quirks were also a factor, notably in New Delhi, where a crackdown on unauthorised use of non-commercial property for office purposes had helped to drive up rents, CBRE said.

Other cities singled out by CBRE as having seen exceptional rates of prime office rental growth in the last year were Abu Dhabi, Singapore, Manila, and Perth.

Second and third in the overall CBRE prime office occupancy cost list were inner central Tokyo and London's City financial district on about US$145 psf each. The highest placed United States location was Midtown Manhattan, New York, in 24th place. - Reuters   2 December 2006

India's booming real estate sector
Property prices are likely to keep climbing at around 10 per cent per annum

India's real estate market has been booming, with most cities recording an annual price appreciation of 10 per cent.

Several factors have fuelled the growth, from the rapid expansion of the middle class to affordable loans and attractive tax advantages and the emergence of numerous second-tier cities favoured as business centres by the IT sector.

A further fillip was provided by the proposal to allow 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) in real estate. It is now estimated that foreign investment to the tune of 4,500 crore rupees (S$1.7 billion) will flow into the Indian construction industry annually.

Significantly, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has raised the risk weight on real estate exposure. The hike in risk weight for lending to the real estate sector has been to the tune of 125 per cent as against the existing 100 per cent. This will result in banks charging higher rates of interest and offering loans only to credit grade projects.

Noteworthy here is the fact that the boom has not been restricted to big cities. Smaller towns and suburbs have also posted sharp price upswings. The reason is the growing trend of big corporate names setting up bases in these areas.

With this trend expected to continue, property prices are likely to keep climbing at the current rate of around 10 per cent per annum.

Let's take a tour around India's mega-cities:

MUMBAI:    The financial capital of India has clocked the highest real estate prices over the years. Mumbai attracts newcomers each year which gives rise to a huge demand for housing. TDR (Territorial Development Rights) is a concept which has taken Mumbai completely in its sway and throughout the city one finds buildings growing vertically. In other words, existing structures are being taken over by builders and fresh floors are being added. Satellite townships such as far-flung Dombivili, Ambernath, Virar, Vasai are areas which have also recorded a fair upswing in real estate prices.

BANGALORE: The IT capital of India has witnessed frenzied construction activity. Bangalore has been recording an annual real estate disbursement to the tune of 4,000 crore rupees. Notably, the city has posted a net absorption of about 4.7 million square feet of commercial real estate in the first half of 2005 alone. Various foreign investment companies and private equity funds are looking at this city which is bound to impact the market positively.

CHENNAI: The city is still reeling from the aftermath of last year's tsunami. With stricter norms enforced in the city, there are no longer buyers to be found for unapproved land. Property prices to the south of the city have begun to creep up by 5 to 10 per cent. Even the coastal suburbs are said to be recording a steady rise in prices. On the other hand, prices of constructions on unapproved land have taken a tumble after the tsunami and even more after the tremors of mid-March.

KOLKATA: The former business capital of India, which had been all but written off for various reasons, is finally coming back to life, albeit slowly. The economic boom which is slowly taking Kolkata into its sway encompasses most sectors, including property. After a decade-long lull, construction activity in Kolkata is at an all-time high. The once laid-back city has seen the setting up of many IT parks and is now being promoted as an investment opportunity to non-resident Indians (NRIs) as well as domestic and international investors.

It is noteworthy that almost all residential construction coming up in and around Kolkata is practically sold out. IT and commercial space is changing hands at unheard of prices in the city. A tour of the city indicates a rapidly changing architectural texture and the development of several self-contained housing complexes in areas such as Jokha, Rajarghat, Tollygunj and Ballygunj.

The concept of condominiums is also fast catching on which has encouraged builders to undertake development projects in the suburbs.

NEW DELHI: Like most other cities, the Indian capital has witnessed a surge in property prices. However, most of the bigger projects are in satellite areas rather than in the city itself. Over the years, townships such as Noida, Faridabad, Gurgaon and even Hindon have seen furious construction activity and rising prices.

The concept of self-contained complexes is rapidly catching on in Delhi and builders are also aiming to change the city from bungalow living to a lifestyle with luxurious amenities such as pools, gardens, jogging tracks, spas and round-the-clock security.

In fact, this is the marketing strategy adopted by most big builders in the city. However, redevelopment within the city itself has not taken place although the neighbouring areas are showing rapid development. There is also the slow change in mindsets, whereby people do not mind travelling into the city from the suburbs to work.

Industry experts expect the boom in India's real estate sector to continue for another half decade or so. Overall then, the economic boom in India is well reflected in its real estate market. - 2005 November 22   SINGAPORE BUSINESS TIMES    Ashok Kumar

Calpers looking at property investment in China, India
The California Public Employees' Retirement System (Calpers), the biggest US pension fund with US$183 billion in equity, is considering property investment in China, a country where its own corporate governance and human rights rules prevent it from investment in stocks.

Calpers has only US$1.2 billion invested in property outside the United States. But sensing a peak in the US property market, Calpers is paring down the US portion of its US$22 billion property portfolio by at least US$7.5 billion, according to its senior real estate investment officer Michael McCook.

Meanwhile, it aims to raise the portion of its foreign property assets to as much as half of total real estate investment in five years, from about 10 per cent now, partially through purchases in growth markets like China and India.

India was included this year on a list of countries which satisfies Calpers stock market investment criteria on issues such as human rights, market transparency and freedom of labour unions. China failed to make the list.

Mr McCook said he would argue to the Calpers investment committee in September that it was possible to ensure the fund's standards were met by his proposed property investments and partnerships in China. 'Say we do for-sale housing, we're providing a service people need and we can control our project,' Mr McCook told Reuters in Singapore. He said Calpers could, for example, make sure workers at any local partner received adequate pay and benefits - which would be impossible when investing in stocks.

Since Calpers started to invest in overseas property in 2002, Mr McCook has voluntarily adhered to the fund's investment policies for stock markets, but he said it was not obligatory.

Mr McCook is proposing an outlay of up to US$200 million for a partnership with a Chinese developer to build housing and retail property. He wants to invest twice that much in a Japan-focused property fund managed by AETOS Capital Japan, which has earmarked 25 per cent of its funds for foreign investment, which will probably include China.

Mr McCook said he had been hopeful the Calpers investment committee would agree to the investment, but reactions in the US to a bid by Chinese oil firm CNOOC for US energy company Unocal had sowed doubts in his mind.

The fund has sold US$6.5 billion of US property so far this year and will sell another US$1 billion to US$2 billion from its industrial and apartment portfolio by the end of the year, Mr McCook said.

Calpers plans to put at least US$500 million into a fund to invest in real estate investment trusts outside the US and will lift its investment in Asia, where US$800 million is now committed. Mr McCook said he was looking at house building in India, which eased rules on foreign investment in property early this year. - Reuters     29 June 2005

UK school exam papers to be marked in India

26 Apr 2005 -   (LONDON) In a new twist in the debate over outsourcing, some half a million exam papers from Britain's main secondary school leaving certificate are to be graded in India to save money, the Daily Telegraph newspaper said yesterday.

The paper said that AQA, one of the three boards in charge of marking papers for the General Certificate of Secondary Education (GCSE) examinations this year, had signed a contract to scan some 500,000 of the papers for history, French, German and Italian and have them emailed to a firm in India.

The Daily Telegraph quoted a former employee of AQA as saying that a number of papers which had already been sent to India under the deal had been returned late, raising fears for the new operation. 'If there are delays when we send out a few thousand papers, what will happen in the summer, when half a million go out?' he was quoted as saying.

The exam board, however, was optimistic. 'We are not aware of any problems with the process and all papers have been returned on schedule,' an AQA spokesman said. The board added that the papers being outsourced for grading all required only one-word answers.

The Daily Telegraph said that the wages paid in India to the people who marked the exam papers were a fifth of what would have been paid in Britain. - AFP

SNAPSHOT: MUMBAI  A penninsula  cobbled together from seven islands, Mumbai, formerly known as Bombay, is one of the most congested and expensive cities in Asia. Yet sitting in its very heart are large areas of idle land belonging to defunct cotton mills, a relic of the city's once-glorious textile industry.

Now these lands will finally get a new lease on life. In March, a new state government policy went into effect that frees up textile mill land for development. Over the next five years, the process potentially will lower property prices in the city and transform a large part of Mumbai's core.

Consider the numbers: A soon-to-be published report by New York-based property firm Cushman & Wakefield's Mumbai office estimates that the mills occupy about 231 hectares of land.

Under the new policy, no more than a third of it could be available for commercial development--but this figure, notably, is still nearly double the entire size of Nariman Point, Mumbai's current central business district.

Real-estate developers are reacting to the new policy with cautious excitement. "There's a lot of interest,"says Niranjan Hiranandani, managing director of Hiranandani Constructions, a large Mumbai-based developer.

Today, the rusting gates of many mill compounds open to reveal lonely smokestacks and decaying buildings, some without roofs and filled with rubble. Their fate has long been one of the most contentious issues facing the city's politicians. That's because Mumbai prospered largely on the back of its textile industry, which began in the 19th century and flourished until a few decades ago. The 58 once-thriving mills attracted a community of migrant labourers, many of whom worked and lived on the premises for generations.

But in the 1960s and 1970s, nearly all the mills began to suffer from increased competition from abroad and a lack of investment in new equipment.

By the time a debilitating industry-wide strike took place in 1982, many were already in bad financial shape. But they were still sitting on a valuable asset: land. Finding a workable solution on just how to dispose of and develop it then took the Maharashtra state government nearly two decades more.

While other industries have been free to sell their land and relocate, "textile was taboo because Bombay was the textile capital,"says Deepak Parekh, the chairman of Housing Development Finance Corporation, one of the country's leading private financial institutions.

Until last autumn, most politicians steered clear of the issue because of the acrimony between owners and workers. "The impression was that these were irreconcilable interests,"says A.P.Sinha, principal secretary of the Urban Development Department of the Maharashtra government.

Now, in an effort to appease all parties, the new regulations divide a mill property into three equal sections: one third for the city for public space; another third for low-cost residential housing, including homes for former employees; and the last third for mill owners to develop independently.

A flood of property will not come on the market right away largely because many mill companies are heavily indebted to the banks and in some cases the properties themselves are already mortgaged, says HDFC's Parekh. All these debts would have to be settled in some form before a sale.

While financiers see obvious problems going forward, many real estate experts are largely enthusiastic. Because of the amount of potential space available, they see a chance for new types of development--large retail stores, for example--that would be impossible elsewhere on the jam-packed peninsula, says Aashish Velkar, deputy managing director of Cushman & Wakefield in Mumbai.

But Velkar also worries that the area's outdated infrastructure--roads, water and sewerage--won't keep pace with the new development. "Here is an opportunity to create an environment, not just a building," says Velkar. "If the development is not planned, there is a real danger it will be haphazard." And that would mean wasting the last pocket of centralized available land in the city.

PROJECT: Mahindra Heights
DEVELOPER:
Mahindra Realty
A 25-storey development in Tardeo, in the south of the city, with two-bedroom apartments of 1,450 square feet and three-bedroom apartments of 1,920 square feet available for sale. Prices start at 9,000 rupees ($191) per square foot and rise according to the floor. The 41 apartments and penthouse have imported marble in the living, dining, bedroom and toilet areas. The development also has its own swimming pool, health club and car park.

PROJECT: Tytan
DEVELOPER: Gowani Developers
Tytan is a 32-storey tower on Nepeansea Road, Malabar Hill, in south Mumbai. It is scheduled to be ready by the end of this year. Its 28 three-bedroom flats measure 2,000 square feet and the majority of them are for lease only. Rental prices range from 150,000-200,000 rupees a month. The purchase price is 16,000 rupees per square foot. All rooms have good-quality marble-granite flooring. Parking spaces are provided.

PROJECT: Crescent Heights
DEVELOPER: Shapoorji Pallonji
Due to be completed in June 2002, Crescent Heights is a 28-storey building on Forjett Street in Tardeo. From the upper floors, there is a view of the bay. All apartments have marble-granite flooring in all rooms. Two types of three-bedroom units are available, with an area of either 1,476 square feet or 1,777 square feet. Prices range from 9,000-16,000 rupees a square foot, depending on the floor. Parking space is ample.

As every business traveller to Mumbai knows, the city has traditionally had a limited number of full-service luxury hotels. At busy times of the year, they can be full--and they're almost always expensive. Not for long, however. From the end of 2000 to 2003, Mumbai is expected to see a 55% increase in luxury-hotel rooms--in official hospitality terminology, that's 5-star and 5-star deluxe accommodation.

Yeshwant Nadkarni, an associate with Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels in Mumbai, takes a deep breath and ticks off the recent and future openings: First the Regent in 1999; Le Royal Meridien in 2000; ITC Grand Maratha Sheraton in January this year; the Renaissance in June; within the next eight months, a JW Marriott and a Hyatt Regency; and within the next two years, a Grand Hyatt and two InterContinentals.

With all these hotels set to open in a short period of time, however, it's probably too much of a good thing. No one is using the word glut, but it's clear that the abundant supply will outstrip demand. For the next few years, the market is likely to be intensely competitive as hotels jockey for customers. Older downtown hotels may be less affected, but even they may feel some pressure on prices. A future tip to the business traveller--be sure to bargain.

Today's luxury-hotel boom has its roots in 1991. As the Indian economy opened to foreign investors, the demand for lodgings for business travellers jumped. For existing 5-star properties, it was a wonderful time; rooms were scarce and guests were plentiful. Even better, most were travelling on their company's tab. The three years from 1993 to 1996 saw room-occupancy rates hover just below 80% while prices for a night's stay rose steadily.

Like bees to honey, those market conditions began to attract the interest of both multinational and Indian chains. Most of the hotels now opening or under construction were conceived when the going was very, very good. Mumbai was also seen as a gateway to India, jostling for preeminence with the capital, New Delhi. If you're going to be in India, went the logic, you should be in Mumbai.

"Unfortunately the supply is coinciding with a downturn," says Nadkarni of Jones Lang LaSalle. Business travellers simply aren't coming to the city in the same numbers as they used to. Over the last three years, both occupancy rates and room rates have come down, according to a JLL report. In 2000, the occupancy rate was 58% and likely to drop slightly this year. The average room rate fell by 12% to $152 over the 12 months to March 2000. And the opening of new properties will keep those rates under pressure for the foreseeable future.

Many developers are now hedging their bets by diversifying their projects. Instead of just building a hotel, some are including retail space, commercial offices and serviced apartments as part of the property.

Still, the reality is that these refined establishments will have to get down and dirty in their pursuit of customers. "It's going to be challenging to see who gets the major market share," says Ashwin Moodliar, sales and marketing manager at the ITC Grand Maratha Sheraton Hotel and Towers. But for business travellers, the news is all good: more choice, better prices, and maybe even a softer pillow.    - Far East Economic Review

 


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